Vocabulary · Volume 1 and Volume 2

Prediction interval

A range derived from a forecast distribution under specified assumptions. Assess its coverage at the relevant horizon; do not label uncalibrated business scenarios as percentiles.

The definition appears in the Volume 1 glossary and Volume 2 glossary. This page collects where the book uses the term and where the blog takes it up.

Discussed in the book

Chapters where “Prediction interval” is discussed at length, ranked by how directly each section treats it.