Vocabulary · Volume 1 and Volume 2
Scenario
A stated combination of conditions used to examine consequences and choices. A scenario need not have an estimated probability.
Discussed in the book
Chapters where “Scenario” is discussed at length, ranked by how directly each section treats it.
- Volume I, Chapter 4: The Simplest Practice
Sections: How to read this chapter
- Volume II, Chapter 14: Seasonal Variation
Sections: What the uncertainty changes
- Volume II, Chapter 15: The Long Tail and the Spike
- Volume II, Chapter 19: Managing Risks and Anomalies
Sections: What the capacity team is for, when it happens · How to read this chapter · The out-of-nowhere events: solar storms and meteors